This was how a senior Congress chief in Telangana reacted when requested if the get together was ready for an early battle. With Okay Chandrasekhar Rao dissolving the Legislative meeting, paving the best way for early polls within the state, many within the opposition Congress are tentative, not sure of the Trojan horses of their steady.
The Congress response to KCR’s determination, typical of the splintered nature of its unit in Telangana, is a divided one. Whereas some really feel it offers KCR a bonus, there are those that really feel there may be ample anti-incumbency in opposition to the Telangana Rashtra Samiti (TRS) to get the higher of the ruling get together. This group is banking on the alliance that the Congress is prone to sew with the Telugu Desam and Prof Kodandaram’s Telangana Jana Samiti (TJS). Nothing can lead the Congress to a second successive defeat in Telangana greater than this smug and lazy perspective.
For one, arithmetic can work solely whether it is seen as preventing for a public trigger. If events and leaders come along with the only goal of defeating one other politician and coming to energy, the individuals often don’t bless the alliance. That’s what occurred in 2009 when Chandrababu Naidu joined arms with KCR to dislodge YS Rajasekhara Reddy. The Mahakutami, because it was known as, got here a cropper. It didn’t work the best way it did in 2004 when YSR cast an alliance with the TRS, driving on agitations in opposition to agrarian misery and the Telangana trigger respectively and defeated Naidu.
Ideally, the Congress-TDP alliance ought to have been firmed up by now and brought up points that matter to the individuals, be it unfulfilled guarantees made on the time of creation of Telangana in 2014, farm misery or city civic points. Firming it up on election-eve will imply there isn’t any assure the vote switch from the Congress cadre to a TDP candidate and vice versa will happen easily. Even with a fledgling get together just like the TJS, haggling over seats has begun. The TJS needs to reasonably ambitiously contest on 35 of the 119 meeting seats and has even introduced names of 20 candidates. The Congress just isn’t prepared to spare greater than two.
However the TRS just isn’t taking the opportunity of arithmetic trumping chemistry evenly. It has began deriding the Mahagatbandhan as Maha Ghatiya Bandhan.
Congress leaders additionally argue that KCR is taking guard early as a result of he needs to make the most of the shortage of preparedness of the opposition, together with mobilisation of monetary sources. Which is why this group inside the get together needs to take the authorized route to forestall a ballot this winter.
The argument is that the TRS submitted to the EC its help for one nation, one ballot. Advancing meeting elections means forcing two elections on Telangana inside 4 months of one another, incurring wasteful expenditure of round Rs 2500 crore. Furthermore, this may additionally imply from September until Could 2019, Telangana shall be in election mode, stalling all improvement work. That is legal waste of time provided that the non-monsoon interval is the most effective time to hold out developmental work.
The rationale for early polls can be being questioned. The authorized battle that the opposition is for certain to pursue will ask if KCR had misplaced his majority or there was a political disaster in Telangana that necessitated this determination.
“KCR can’t determine election dates based mostly on what his astrologer advises him,” says a Congress chief sarcastically.
With elections to be held inside six months, the EC must conduct the method by the primary week of March. The Congress technique then is to level out that by that point, the Lok Sabha electoral routine will kick into movement. It needs to counsel to the EC that Telangana might be made to vote within the first part, thereby guaranteeing the state votes for each Parliament and Meeting on the identical time.
The EC has began the method of revision of electoral rolls on 1 September. Ideally this course of shall be accomplished solely within the first week of January to allow all those that full 18 years by December 2018 to vote. The Congress argument is that it’s not truthful to go to polls with an outdated voter checklist.
The Congress can be apprehensive that KCR would try and inflict last-minute injury by poaching on high-profile Congress leaders who’ve been in secret talks with him for a lot of months now. This is able to assist the TRS ship the message that the Congress is a sinking ship.
Lastly, a separate meeting ballot will assist KCR make the election all about himself. With no tall chief of comparable stature within the opposition, KCR will dip each into the Telangana sentiment equating a vote for KCR as a vote for Telangana.
With no chief in its state unit to match KCR in stature, the Congress will financial institution closely on Sonia and Rahul Gandhi to do the heavy lifting.
The Congress, to place it mildly, has its activity lower out.