Exit ballot outcomes: Madhya Pradesh stays bellwether, seemingly to offer Congress anxious moments on 11 Dec


The exit polls on Friday night introduced the primary infusion of vitality within the Congress camp that it has been desperately ready for. If exit polls obtained their predictions proper, then the Congress is prone to pocket Rajasthan on 11 December when the election outcomes might be introduced.

Nonetheless, it’s Madhya Pradesh that the Congress might be watching with anticipation as a victory within the BJP-ruled state would give some indication of tendencies within the Common Elections to Lok Sabha in 2019. The celebration had not solely drawn up a strong technique to wrest the BJP stronghold after 15 years, however it had additionally made some ideological compromises to remain forward of its rival.

Whether or not it’s the ballot of polls or particular person exit ballot reviews like India Today-Axis, Times Now-CNX, and so forth, all predicted Congress win in Rajasthan.

The exit ballot outcomes point out the celebration would possibly upset the BJP in Chhattisgarh, however in Madhya Pradesh, it is prone to be neck and neck contest.

File picture of Jyotiraditya Scindia and Kamal Nath. PTI

In accordance with the ballot of polls consequence:

– Each the BJP and the Congress will get 110 seats every in 230-seat Meeting in Madhya Pradesh.

– In Chhattisgarh, BJP will get 40, Congress 44 and others 6 in 90-seat Meeting.

– Whereas, in Rajasthan, Congress will get a transparent margin with 105 seats and BJP will get 85.

Nonetheless, the person exit ballot outcomes differed.

– In Madhya Pradesh, whereas, India At the moment-Axis My India exhibits BJP 102-120 and Congress 104-122, the Occasions Now-CNX exhibits BJP profitable 126 seats and Congress 89.

– In Chhattisgarh, India At the moment-Axis My India exhibits BJP profitable 21-31, Congress 55-65 and others 4-Eight seats, whereas, Occasions Now-CNX predicts BJP 46, Congress 35 and JCC-BSP 7.

– In Rajasthan, whereas India At the moment-Axis My India exhibits BJP profitable 55-72 and Congress 119-141, the Occasions Now-CNX survey exhibits BJP profitable 85 seats and Congress 105.

It’s not clear from the tendencies whether or not Congress might be a transparent winner in Madhya Pradesh, and this sturdy BJP-RSS bastion goes to be a giant problem for the grand previous celebration of India. The final victory that Congress had tasted within the state was in 1998 and it has been out of energy since 2003.

After 2014, the primary victory within the true sense that the Congress tasted was within the Punjab Meeting election led by Captain Amarinder Singh. Although it misplaced the Gujarat meeting election, the celebration gave a tricky struggle to the ruling BJP and for the primary time, Congress president Rahul Gandhi was seen main from the entrance. The celebration additionally managed to kind a authorities in alliance in Karnataka as effectively.

Madhya Pradesh is a giant hope for Congress and gave the duty to carry a few flip in its fortunes within the state to 2 of its prime leaders from the state — Kamal Nath and Jyotiraditya Scindia, each Members of Parliament from Chhindwara and Guna, respectively.

Significance of profitable Madhya Pradesh

Madhya Pradesh has the strongest RSS base and can also be a BJP stronghold. Its three-term chief minister Shivraj Singh Chouhan is to the state what Narendra Modi was for Gujarat. With 29 Lok Sabha seats, Madhya Pradesh stands subsequent to Uttar Pradesh, Maharashtra, West Bengal and Tamil Nadu in political energy on the Centre.

Undoubtedly, the celebration that wins Madhya Pradesh could have an edge within the 2019 Lok Sabha polls. For Congress, it’s extra vital than the BJP, because the celebration has a authorities in solely two states – Punjab and Puducherry. It was additionally ruling Mizoram, however the state went to the polls final week.

Congress has given some stalwart chief ministers to the state with a nationwide recall up to now like Ravi Shankar Shukla, Dwarka Prasad Mishra, Kailash Nath Katju, Shyama Charan Shukla, Motilal Vohra, and Arjun Singh to call just a few.

As part of its aggressive technique, Congress made some ideological compromises by adopting a gentle Hindutva line. The Congress president had visited two well-known Jyotirlinga shrines — Omkareshwar and Mahakaleshwar and likewise supplied prayers at Pitambara Peeth in Datia whereas campaigning within the state. It was in Bhopal, the place he was hailed as a ‘Shiva Bhakt’ and ‘Pandit Rahul Gandhi’.

Rahul spent most of his time and vitality within the state conducting rallies and street exhibits. Barring UPA chairperson Sonia Gandhi, nearly all prime Congress leaders campaigned in Madhya Pradesh, together with former prime minister Manmohan Singh, who had addressed a press convention in Indore as effectively.

Congress additionally managed to carry the leaders of its rival factions in its Madhya Pradesh unit below one roof, who joined arms to offer a tricky struggle to the ruling BJP. Senior Congress chief and former chief minister Digvijay Singh was strategically sidelined in order to keep away from any controversy.

The three-term BJP rule in Madhya Pradesh not solely supplied an anti-incumbency issue to the opposition, but additionally points like farmers’ misery which obtained fuelled with an agitation in Mandsaur district in 2017, alleged corruption costs towards Shivraj Singh authorities, anger towards the forms, and a wave of change.

If the outcomes of the exit polls are to be believed, with an assured victory in Rajasthan and a hope to make it in Chhattisgarh, the one state which is statistically troublesome to foretell is Madhya Pradesh and that may give some anxious moments to the Congress. The wall that stands between the Congress and its dream victory is Shivraj Singh Chouhan. He’s not solely one of many strongest leaders within the BJP with a robust nationwide recall, the voters who’re towards his authorities additionally don’t have any private anger towards him.

Nonetheless, all people must wait until 11 December to see who has the final snicker.

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